Demand from Asian markets has boosted molybdenum over the past weeks, in spite of lagging North American demand. The strategic metal is currently trading in the range of $10.60 to $10.80 a pound, up from $10 to $10.50 a pound less than two weeks ago.
Moly prices have exhibited a gradual increase, recently surpassing $10.00 per lb. Miners are hoping the metal continues the trend, claiming a price minimum of $10.00 per lb is essential in order to turn a profit. Moly was trading at $33.50 per lb before the financial crisis sent a shockwave through the global economy.
As a minor metal, molybdenum is prone to rapid price fluctuations; in the past this had generated huge returns on investment. Molybdenum was one of the last metals to feel the effects of the economic downturn, but has failed to match the recovery experienced by many metals since the start of the New Year.
Molybdenum miners may dramatically slash output in an effort to coax a rebound in the price of the alloying metal, priming the industry for a rapid price ascent when stainless steel demand rebounds.
Despite the recent optimism across the metals sector, molybdenum prices are continuing on a downward trend. Last week, sluggish demand and high stockpiles caused European ferromolybdenum prices to drop below US $21 per kg. US market prices also slid.
Chinese imports of molybdenum concentrate and molybdenum oxide nearly doubled from January to February as overseas sellers stepped up competition with Chinese producers. This did little, although, to correct prices.
Imports of molybdenum into China surged in February as overseas sellers stepped up competition with Chinese producers. Imports of moly have surged because Chinese producers have found themselves largely unable to compete with cheaper import offers.
Government spending will spark a recovery in steel demand towards the end of the year; but its mark on the molybdenum market will be limited. Demand for molybdenum in China likely will rise 6 percent in 2009, then slip to 52,800 tonnes in 2010 before growing again in 2011.
Molybdenum prices are currently hovering around the $9 per lb mark, a drastic decline from last Augusts’ high of $34. Molybdenum managed to hold its price point longer than other metals; but in the fourth quarter of 2008 the steel industry’s defeat sent molybdenum on a free fall.
Molybdenum has crashed from $33 per lb in mid ’08, to its Friday closing value $8.70 per lb. Analysts predicts the metal is in for a slow recovery this year, and is anticipated to average $11.00 per lb.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
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